Probability to cast a spell

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Daeron
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Probability to cast a spell

Post by Daeron »

Because I didn't see these numbers anywhere yet... The probability to cast a spell, to unbind a spell, and total chance to see a spell cast. It closely hovers around 50% for all spell cast values up to 7+. I added some simplified numbers next to it, which should feel more intuitive, and be a sufficiently accurate estimate to make decisions on in the game (if any).

To Cast. .chance. .Unbind . .Total . .Simplified
. 2+. . .100% . . .44,4%. . .55,6%. . .50%
. 3+. . .97,2%. . .41,7%. . .55,6%. . .50%
. 4+. . .91,7%. . .36,6%. . .55,1%. . .50%
. 5+. . .83,3%. . .29,6%. . .53,7%. . .50%
. 6+. . .72,2%. . .21,6%. . .50,6%. . .50%
. 7+. . .58,3%. . .13,5%. . .44,8%. . .50%
. 8+. . .41,7%. . .06,6%. . .35,1%. . .33%
. 9+. . .27,8%. . .02,7%. . .25,1%. . .25%
10+. . .16,7%. . .00,8%. . .15,8%. . .17%
11+. . .08,3%. . .00,2%. . .08,2%. . .8%
12+. . .02,8%. . .00,0%. . .02,8%. . .
I love me a bowl of numbers to crunch for breakfast. If you need anything theoryhammered, I gladly take requests.

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Phox532
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Re: Probability to cast a spell

Post by Phox532 »

Now what if you are a lizardman and you have 5 of those BSB that give you +1 to casting. My mate and I were looking at that today. I may I sealed my doom, cause he's now talking about getting at least 4 of them and a Slan Starmpreist which means it's going to be Summoning O'clock on our battleboard.
Phox Jorkarzul
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